The only computer program that allows practical use
of Chaos Theory in your business
Wolfe Wall, Phd.
Chaos Theory Specialist
System (DIS) is a powerful
business tool that uses Chaos theory to help you analyze past performance and
view possible scenarios. With DIS, you look at your business as a system. A business unit is a
collection of individual variables. If each variable worked in isolation there
would be an infinite amount of possible outcomes within the unit. However each
variable in any given system is subject to the other variables that form that
system, and together they can create, build or destroy. Just like any other
system, (from weather systems to fish populations), your business demonstrates
behaviors that can be described with Chaos theory. All systems are sensitive to
initial conditions; in other words, the state of a system at any given time
depends critically on the conditions present when the system (your business)
began. DIS allows you to
specify some initial conditions based on your real world information and it creates
extrapolated data that you can analyze and use to help make sound decisions.
Decision Imaging System requires:
offers a consulting service to assist you in identifying appropriate initial
conditions. We can calibrate your equation for you to ensure you get useful
extrapolated data. Our team of experts can help you get the most out of DIS.
The first step to using DIS is to obtain a set of data with three variables and then extract
the initial conditions that originated the data set. These variables could be
the number of sales at an initial launch period, time and total sales. They
could be an initial stock price, the volume of the first month and the price
change from the first day to the last day of the first month. Every business
has its own initial conditions and you can examine any system within your
business as long as you can provide the real data and the initial conditions.
Decision Imaging System
DIS takes your initial conditions and iterates these values through a
chaos equation to build a chaos-
attractor, or strange
attractor. A strange attractor is a graphical representation of your iterated
data in a 3-dimensional coordinate system. These images all have certain
qualities in common; you can look at your image and determine if it looks like
a proper attractor image. DIS
displays both your data and the strange attractor at the same time; when you
point your mouse at a place in the image, DIS highlights the corresponding data points. With some practice, you
will be able to "read" the images and develop an intuitive sense of
how anomalies in the images correspond to anomalies in your data.
Once you have
generated extrapolated data with the DIS equation, you may compare it with some real data to see how well
the fit is. DIS provides
fine-tuning mechanisms that allow you to calibrate and model the equation.
Once you are satisfied with how well your data sets match, you can generate a
new attractor image. DIS
automatically filters data considered noise for you so you can concentrate on
In addition to
displaying attractor images, DIS also displays bifurcation maps. Bifurcation maps show a steady
state, regions of chaos or areas of period doubling. These displays are helpful
for seeing in which state your business is at various times. For example, you
can click on a region of chaos in your bifurcation map and DIS will show you what data points
correspond to that area of chaos. You can use this knowledge to change some
factor in your business to kick you out of a prolonged, undesirable steady
state, or you can prepare for an upcoming stretch of period doubling.
INTRACLIENT NETWORKS INC.